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Real Madrid sank in London this Tuesday in the quarter -final first leg of the Champions League, stirred by Arsenal in its lair of the Emirates Stadium. The chances of seeing Kylian Mbappé and his teammates advancing in the competition are now tiny.
Certainly, impossible is not Real Madrid. But this time, it will be very complicated. Balayed by Arsenal in the quarter-final first leg of the Champions League (3-0), Real Madrid is now at the foot of a huge wall, with no other choice than to create the feat at Bernabeu in a week to extend its European career.
A scenario very far from having the favors of the statistics which, if they do not care about the beauty of the two sublime free kicks sketched by the painter Declan Rice, did not miss anything from the abyssal level gap between the two teams during this first round. With his three goals behind and a big puzzle to be resolved, Opta is not very optimistic for the future of Real Madrid in the Champions League: the statistics specialist gives only 4% chance to the Kylian Mbappé teammates to overthrow the steam and qualify for the semi-finals.
A figure that leads to the hopes of the 16th title of the men of President Florentino Pérez. Of the 10,000 simulations made by OPTA, only 2.2% resulted in a final with Real Madrid and barely 1.1% of a final victory in the Merengues.
Favorite arsenal … before Barça and PSG?
And as always, the misfortune of some makes others happy. On the royal road towards the last square, Arsenal sees its chances of final victory significantly increase. Credités of 15.6% chance of winning this edition of the Champions League before their match against Real, behind Barça (23.1%) and PSG (19.3%), the Gunners are now OPTA favorites with 28.4% chance of being sacred on May 31 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Figures which should however evolve after the matches on Wednesday which could put Barça and PSG on good statistical rails in the event of favorable results.
But Real supporters will keep in mind that the statistics have never garnished the cupboards to trophy and that the feat is always possible as long as there is a path. PSG will be able to testify, he that Opta only saw Liverpool overthrow in 25% of the scenarios after their defeat at the Parc des Princes in the first leg.
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